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Casino Royale's Poker Game Analysis

Anyone
that has seen Casino Royale remembers the big poker game. Thomas
Sanbrook was brought in for this movie to try and make it look more
realistic. While the high stakes Texas Hold'em poker game looked professional, anyone that knows poker knows that the final hand was anything but. Let's take a look why.
Here are the hands of each player at the start of the final hand.
Seat 1 - Asian Gentleman - Ks-Qs
Seat 2 - African American Gentleman - 8h-8c
Seat 3 - Le Chiffre - Ac-6h
Seat 4 - James Bond - 5s-7s
When we reach the turn, the
board shows Ah-8s-6s-4s and the pot is at $24 Million. While we
didn't see the action pre-flop, we can probably get a decent idea of
how the action went down. From the way the chips are setting on
the board on the turn, all four players limped in pre-flop without a
raise.
On
the flop, one would assume that the African American player bet out six
Million to chase out those drawing. The character played by Mads
Mikkelsen clearly knows how to play poker and just called here with top
and bottom pair. Bond making a call here is mathematically incorrect
as he does not have the proper pot odds, but considering he has huge
odds of taking his opponents entire stacks if he hits, he has the
proper implied odds to call. At this point, the Asian gentleman should
have folded.
On
the turn, Bond has the stone cold nuts and obviously is going to slow
play the hand. The Asian player decides to check as well which is
clearly a mistake considering that only an ace-high flush beats him.
He should have bet somewhere around 30 to 40 percent of the pot to
represent his flush.
With
a flush now complete on the board, African gentleman has no choice but
to check. The only downside is that everyone now knows he does not
have the flush. Le Chiffe is not going to risk a check-raise situation
and is happy to see a river.
The
river could not have fell more fortuitous for Bond as it basically
completes a better hand all of his opponents. Again, Bond is going to
let someone else bet and the Asian gentleman shoves for $6 Million with
his nut flush. The African American gentleman puts in his last $4
Million with his eights-full. He had no choice here as he was clearly
pot committed.
Le
Chiffe makes a min-raise to $12 Million which is a suspicious bet in
this spot. It almost is asking for a call. Normally, you would assume
someone her has something like A-8,the A-6 like Le Chiffe has, or some
pocket pair to make a full house.
Unfortunately
for Le Chiffe, Bond has the nuts and moves all-in. Le Chiffe makes the
call and we all know what happens from here. Bond takes down the pot
after everyone essentially slow rolls the table thinking they won.
While
Casino Royale was clearly a film with a lot of drama, the reality
is that the climatic poker scene was seriously lacking in realism.
Granted, many of us watching the film didn't really care about realism
as all we wanted to see Bond win the day, and he did.
c 2012
Alternative 007
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